Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.005760 0.006092 0.006436 0.006820 0.007239 0.007681 0.008185
2026-01-18 0.005190 0.005671 0.006194 0.006807 0.007512 0.008301 0.009258
2026-01-25 0.004805 0.005362 0.005987 0.006746 0.007651 0.008706 0.010045
2026-02-01 0.004626 0.005255 0.005980 0.006886 0.008002 0.009353 0.011140
2026-02-08 0.004397 0.005065 0.005850 0.006855 0.008128 0.009715 0.011892
2026-02-15 0.004216 0.004916 0.005754 0.006850 0.008271 0.010094 0.012681
2026-02-22 0.004015 0.004728 0.005596 0.006750 0.008278 0.010286 0.013219
2026-03-01 0.003841 0.004565 0.005456 0.006660 0.008286 0.010470 0.013751
2026-03-08 0.003721 0.004461 0.005386 0.006655 0.008400 0.010800 0.014510
2026-03-15 0.003528 0.004256 0.005173 0.006446 0.008222 0.010702 0.014619
2026-03-22 0.003444 0.004187 0.005135 0.006469 0.008364 0.011068 0.015458
2026-03-29 0.003388 0.004151 0.005137 0.006545 0.008581 0.011553 0.016524
2026-04-05 0.003285 0.004051 0.005050 0.006495 0.008615 0.011770 0.017181
2026-04-12 0.003203 0.003975 0.004993 0.006483 0.008703 0.012073 0.018011
2026-04-19 0.003110 0.003882 0.004908 0.006425 0.008718 0.012260 0.018652
2026-04-26 0.003088 0.003882 0.004951 0.006556 0.009025 0.012932 0.020224
2026-05-03 0.003014 0.003810 0.004890 0.006528 0.009083 0.013197 0.021072
2026-05-10 0.002952 0.003752 0.004846 0.006522 0.009174 0.013523 0.022069
2026-05-17 0.002867 0.003658 0.004747 0.006429 0.009119 0.013592 0.022564
2026-05-24 0.002788 0.003572 0.004657 0.006346 0.009074 0.013675 0.023095
2026-05-31 0.002737 0.003523 0.004618 0.006340 0.009157 0.013988 0.024132
2026-06-07 0.002633 0.003395 0.004462 0.006146 0.008914 0.013699 0.023860
2026-06-14 0.002596 0.003363 0.004445 0.006167 0.009037 0.014084 0.025093